Oman is on the edge of another Cyclone, Ashobaa. At 990 mbar Ashobaa is not as intense as Gonu (920 mbar) in 2007 or Phet (970 mbar) in 2010 >> scroll down for the video.
However its arrival almost a week later than either, suggesting the sea water is now remaining warmer for longer (Cyclones need sea water over about 28c to form – and the Monsoon usually chills it down by now).
Its course is uncertain as its stalled east of Sur, which may well have rain on Thursday and Friday; will it move into Oman or north towards Pakistan / Iran?
The image is from NASA’s Terra Modis, while the video which also shows the strength of a normal Monsoon wind rushing from East Africa past Oman and onto India, is made from one on nullschool.net
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